Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 15.724890 18.252964 20.998000 24.192435 27.799703 31.738844 36.357583
2025-08-24 11.088298 14.456692 18.481691 23.608841 29.925538 37.409962 46.901508
2025-08-31 8.169214 11.713586 16.288738 22.546123 30.788135 41.170061 55.116643
2025-09-07 6.768701 10.499058 15.627269 23.051454 33.356790 46.964736 66.061695
2025-09-14 5.739455 9.549799 15.087459 23.510211 35.737574 52.538206 76.989153
2025-09-21 4.734821 8.430199 14.093590 23.117081 36.772501 56.230883 85.498686
2025-09-28 3.894306 7.403059 13.060774 22.479121 37.294672 59.125689 92.963801
2025-10-05 3.652207 7.315759 13.465514 24.059792 41.231318 67.191275 108.357457
2025-10-12 3.383985 7.132035 13.672315 25.313576 44.722907 74.779475 123.463860
2025-10-19 3.003792 6.676773 13.349210 25.631028 46.705644 80.141964 135.464937
2025-10-26 2.657161 6.224764 12.966034 25.784352 48.394564 85.104498 147.077586
2025-11-02 2.299034 5.686128 12.349690 25.444490 49.191016 88.642591 156.583478
2025-11-09 1.938481 5.102302 11.618451 24.906248 49.756758 92.103349 166.639160
2025-11-16 1.613204 4.535405 10.849858 24.229025 50.052557 95.205575 176.449679
2025-11-23 1.306884 3.941180 9.928412 23.129222 49.448489 96.692238 183.612373
2025-11-30 1.173053 3.742085 9.819511 23.643609 51.908159 103.679551 200.566627
2025-12-07 1.053125 3.551694 9.699100 24.112160 54.303734 110.683958 217.920224
2025-12-14 0.896647 3.222238 9.203602 23.710249 54.925293 114.470364 229.754224
2025-12-21 0.750944 2.884500 8.630331 23.058090 54.962613 117.143442 239.692791
2025-12-28 0.733285 2.935012 9.033802 24.673814 59.832221 129.240881 267.494120
2026-01-04 0.699757 2.927144 9.284703 25.955182 64.082745 140.371228 294.017427
2026-01-11 0.629494 2.779225 9.142205 26.279588 66.292326 147.642375 313.642446
2026-01-18 0.561216 2.619411 8.941560 26.436267 68.138636 154.287777 332.385319